Archive replay · live forecasts → CPHC
Nolo came within 232 km of Hawaii, passing to the south as a category 2 hurricane on 26 September 2026. It had peaked far out at sea at 135 kt and was weakening as it neared the islands. Across 57 official forecasts the nearest approach ever predicted was 75 km from Hawaii.
Replay the forecasts, advisory by advisoryAt its closest pass so far, Nolo was 232 km (144 mi) from Hawaii with 85 kt (98 mph) winds. The closest official forecast so far brings its centre within 75 km (47 mi) of Hawaii. These numbers move with every advisory.
The archive holds 57 official forecast packages for Nolo, issued between 13 September 2026 and 4 October 2026. The replay shows each one as it stood at the moment it was issued — not the track we know now.
| Lead time | Mean track error |
|---|---|
| 24 h | 33 nm |
| 48 h | 45 nm |
| 72 h | 56 nm |
Headlines collected while the storm is in progress; they link to their publishers, not to this archive.